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Vodafone Concept’s Goal Worth Slashed As Brokerages View Supreme Courtroom Verdict On AGR Case As Adverse


Vodafone Concept Ltd.’s goal worth was slashed by brokerages as they factored within the unfavourable impression of Supreme Courtroom dismissing the telecommunication corporations’ plea to rethink calculation of  adjusted gross income dues.

Citi Analysis and Nuvama minimize Vodafone Concept’s goal worth.

Citi Analysis decreased the goal worth to Rs 17 from Rs 22, and maintained the ranking as ‘Purchase’. The goal worth implied upside of 63%.

High courtroom dismissing the petition is a transparent unfavourable for Vodafone Concept given the expectation of the waiver, it stated in a brokerage observe on Thursday.

The priority over Vodafone Concept’s capacity to pay authorities dues will resurface after ongoing moratorium ends in September 2025. Citi Analysis considers Vodafone Concept as a excessive danger inventory as its stability sheet remained stretched and the corporate is on the mercy of presidency.

Citi Analysis decreased the goal worth because it was ascribing Vodafone Concept comparable a number of to its friends with a lot more healthy stability sheet on expectation of a waiver from the Authorities of India in case prime courtroom proceeded with the plea, it stated.

In distinction to different brokerages, Goldman Sachs raised the goal worth to Rs 2.5 from Rs 2.2, whereas it stored the ‘Promote’ ranking. The goal worth implied 76% draw back from the Thursday’s closing worth.

Supreme Courtroom’s rejection of the plea didn’t change the New York-based funding banker’s estimates as a result of they weren’t pricing the waiver.

From right here on, tariff hikes will likely be frequent for Vodafone Concept to bridge the free money circulate, Goldman Sachs stated in observe on Thursday.

Nuvama minimize Vodafone Concept’s goal worth to Rs 11.5 from Rs 16.5 and reiterated ‘Maintain’. The goal worth implied 10.2% upside from Thursday’s closing worth. Vodafone Concept’s cashflow is insufficient to satisfy obligation to pay the remaining dues, the brokerage stated in a observe on Friday.

Vodafone Concept’s stability sheet is inflated with liabilities of Rs 2.5 lakh core. Of the entire liabilities, Rs 2.1 lakh crore is for spectrum and AGR liabilities, each are as a result of authorities. As soon as the Authorities of India lifts the moratorium, the telecommunication firm has to make cost of Rs 29,000 crore and 43,000 crore by March 2026 and March 2027, Nuvama stated.

Aside from not getting a waiver from the federal government, Vodafone Concept continued to lose subscribers. After the latest tariff hike, Vodafone Concept began to lose market share to BSNL.

With restricted visibility to achieve any substantial progress for 5G rollout, will probably be troublesome for Vodafone Concept to fetch new subscribers thus, Nuvama stated.

Nomura expects Vodafone Concept to go for the choice to transform debt to fairness. The telecommunication firm will be capable to convert Rs 12,000 crore dues into fairness, it stated.

The dealer has a goal worth of Rs 15 for the inventory, which implied 44% upside from Thursday’s closing worth. The inventory ranking has been upgraded to ‘Purchase’.

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