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Elon Musk’s Twitter deal will be the worst leveraged buyout deal for banks since Lehman, elevating dangers to Tesla



Elon Musk’s buy of Twitter may go down because the worst leveraged buyout (LBO) deal for banks because the 2008 world monetary disaster within the newest worrying signal the deal is proving pricey to Tesla shareholders. 

Whereas greater than half of the $44 billion price ticket got here from Elon Musk, some $13 billion needed to be raised from a consortium of lenders so as to not overwhelm Tesla shareholders after the entrepreneur liquidated billions of {dollars} in Tesla inventory.

Sometimes, Wall Road banks will underwrite the debt financing from main offers, later packaging and promoting the debt on to skilled buyers like hedge funds and pension plans in a matter of weeks or generally months. However the poor timing of the October 2022 Twitter deal, struck simply when borrowing prices started to soar, mixed with the dire financials of the social media firm, soured any urge for food on the a part of cash managers.

Practically two years on, funding banks have been unable to dump the debt, tying up valuable capital and limiting their potential to originate and finance extra offers. In reality, no LBO debt has sat longer on stability sheet because the Lehman Brothers chapter, in line with new data from PitchBook LCD cited by the Wall Road Journal on Tuesday.

The earlier document was 13 months stemming from the 2007 acquisition of automobile elements group Tower Automotive by personal fairness agency Cerberus through the peak of the subprime bubble.

The info doesn’t present any indication as as to if X had breached its mortgage covenants, normally the primary signal of misery, and the corporate didn’t reply to a Fortune request for remark.

However reporting in current months has indicated that Musk repeatedly sought to assuage banker considerations whilst he sought much less onerous phrases. 

Unsustainable debt

When the deal was inked Twitter was anticipated to shoulder over $1 billion in annual curiosity, earlier than capital expenditure and working bills. That’s an issue, on condition that income in its predominant U.S. market could also be monitoring to roughly $600 million this yr, and even previous to the Musk acquisition, Twitter struggled to monetize its consumer base.

Fortune reported in October that Musk had held repeated talks with bankers to debate restructuring the debt to realize extra financially sustainable phrases.

In line with the Wall Road Journal, nevertheless, these talks have come to an deadlock. Whereas it stays unclear X is presently paying its debt, indications from no less than one financial institution present that that is affecting their backside line. 

Thanks mainly to the legacy Twitter LBO debt, Barclays senior M&A workforce had been knowledgeable final yr their annual compensation would shrink by 40% over the earlier yr. The minimize was so extreme that nearly 1 / 4 of the financial institution’s over 200 managing administrators stop as soon as they’d collected it. 

Musk may nonetheless pull a rabbit out of a hat, however X’s monetary woes are elevating the alarm amongst Tesla bulls. Final week Halter Ferguson Monetary warned Musk could also be pressured to promote $1 to $2 billion price of Tesla shares to plug monetary cracks rising at Twitter, now X, with recent infusions of loss-absorbing fairness.

Fortune reached out Barclays and Tesla for additional remark. 

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