British Open: 3 Darkish Horses who can win Claret Jug at Royal Troon

Of all of the 4 main championships, The Open Championship is probably essentially the most unpredictable—very like the inclement climate that may blow throughout the Scottish coast at a second’s discover.

Look no additional than final 12 months, when Brian Harman decimated Royal Liverpool to win by six pictures at 13-under-par. Harman, who arrived in England with 125-to-1 pre-tournament odds, claimed his first main championship and, fairly frankly, no person noticed it coming. The lefty plucked his method round Hoylake, avoiding Royal Liverpool’s penal bunkers whereas inserting himself within the correct positions all week. His 6-under 65 on Friday sealed the deal, as no person got here near catching him over the weekend. Harman held a 5-shot lead on the 36-hole mark, carried that very same margin into Sunday, and gained simply as a major longshot over the world’s greatest.

Maybe we see one other darkish horse win this week at Royal Troon. In spite of everything, this course produced the last word longshot winner in 2004, when Todd Hamilton defeated Ernie Els in a playoff. Hamilton arrived because the 56th-ranked participant that week, but prevailed because the Champion Golfer of the 12 months. He would by no means document a top-10 in a serious once more.

Predicting this championship is not any straightforward job, however we do have a trio of darkish horses we like. Listed here are three gamers who can shock the world and hoist the Claret Jug at Royal Troon:

3. Aaron Rai

Photograph by Andrew Redington/Getty Photos

Aaron Rai made his method into The Open by the use of his robust end on the Genesis Scottish Open, the place he tied for fourth. A 7-under 63 on Sunday soared him up the leaderboard and booked him a ticket to Royal Troon—the highest three finishers on the Scottish Open earned a spot within the discipline this week.

However his robust play at The Reinassance Membership was no outlier. Rai has posted 5 straight top-20 finishes courting again to the RBC Canadian Open in early June. He tied for nineteenth on the U.S. Open, however three late bogies on Sunday at Pinehurst prevented him from ending larger than that.

Rai then rebounded on the Rocket Mortgage Traditional, tying for second. However he might have gained in Detroit if not for a pedestrian, final-round even-par 72. Granted, the wind shifted, and circumstances worsened as that afternoon wore on, however Rai couldn’t reap the benefits of the 54-hole lead he shared with Akshay Bhatia.

Nonetheless, Rai ranks 4th on the PGA Tour in general strokes gained. He has performed flawlessly, rating first in driver accuracy proportion at 72.97% and third in greens in regulation proportion at 72.47%. Within the uncommon occasion he misses the inexperienced, he can rise up and down, too, rating tenth on tour in scrambling proportion. Placing has not been his robust go well with, however he nonetheless ranks 54th in strokes gained on the inexperienced.

Good ball-strikers and people with stable brief video games win Open Championships, and Rai matches that invoice. So it could actually shock many within the sporting world if Rai hoisted the Claret Jug together with his two black gloves, however after trying on the numbers, it actually wouldn’t be that shocking in any respect.

DraftKings Odds to Win: +6500

2. Jason Day

Photograph by Warren Little/Getty Photos

It’s considerably shocking that Jason Day has not but gained a Claret Jug, however possibly that is his week.

At 36, Day has revitalized his profession during the last couple of years. He gained the AT&T Byron Nelson final 12 months, marking his first PGA Tour victory since 2018. He has since recorded 5 top-10 finishes, together with a tie for second at Royal Liverpool a 12 months in the past.

But, his ball-striking numbers this season are poor. Day at the moment ranks 149th on the PGA Tour in strokes gained approaching the inexperienced and 147th in greens in regulation proportion—startling figures for the most effective iron gamers of the 2010s.

So, on condition that iron play is essential in The Open, why will we like Day this week?

First, he has expertise. Day tied for twenty second at Royal Troon in 2016 and is aware of this observe, which many others on this discipline aren’t. Second, Day has the most effective brief video games on the planet. He’s beautiful across the greens—a testomony to his Australian roots—and an outstanding putter. On prime of that, Day has an unimaginable creativeness, as he closes his eyes and visualizes every shot. Hyperlinks golf requires artistic imaginative and prescient, and Day has that. He also can hit any shot in his bag.

DraftKings Odds to Win: +10000

1. Russell Henley

Photograph by Luke Walker/R&A through Getty Photos

The previous Georgia Bulldog is, fairly frankly, probably the most underrated gamers on the planet.

He has made the lower in any respect three majors this season, together with his greatest end being a T-7 on the U.S. Open. He has 5 prime 10s general and most just lately tied for forty eighth on the Vacationers Championship, which means he arrives in Scotland refreshed and able to go.

But, Henley doesn’t have a powerful historical past at The Open. He has missed 5 of 9 cuts and has not completed higher than twentieth. One MC of these got here at Royal Troon in 2016, and he missed one other at Royal Liverpool a 12 months in the past.

Nonetheless, Henley doesn’t have many flaws in his recreation. He retains it in play, counting on his accuracy greater than distance to plot round golf programs. Plus, he’s a stable ball-striker, rating thirtieth on the PGA Tour in strokes gained: approaching the inexperienced.

On prime of that, Henley has a dependable brief recreation, as he ranks twenty sixth on tour in scrambling proportion and twenty third in strokes gained across the greens. His recreation on paper matches properly to hyperlinks golf, however the outcomes haven’t proven it as of but.

Regardless of that, Henley has the sport to flip the script and win golf’s oldest main. He has 4 PGA Tour victories, however this might mark a career-defining second for the 110-to-1 longshot.

DraftKings Odds to Win: +11000

Jack Milko is a golf workers author for SB Nation’s Enjoying By. You should definitely try @_PlayingThrough for extra golf protection. You may observe him on Twitter @jack_milko as properly.