Genesis Invitational odds, picks: Scottie Scheffler favored once more

LA JOLLA, Calif. — This yr’s Genesis Invitational will look a lot completely different than years previous because the South Course at Torrey Pines will host a Signature Occasion for the primary time. The PGA Tour had no selection however to relocate this week’s occasion from Riviera Nation Membership in Los Angeles as a result of wildfires which have severely impacted the area.

Consequently, 37 gamers who performed on this yr’s Farmers Insurance coverage Open return to Torrey Pines three weeks after Harris English emerged victorious on the South Course. That features Hideki Matsuyama, the fourth-ranked participant on the planet, who additionally arrives because the defending champion of the Genesis Invitational. However final month’s Farmers Insurance coverage Open featured solely 17 gamers ranked among the many prime 50 within the Official World Golf Rankings (OWGR). That starkly contrasts this week, which options 46 of the highest 50 within the OWGR.

As soon as once more, World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler arrives because the pre-tournament favourite once more, having 4-to-1 odds to win, in response to FanDuel. Oddsmakers at present listing Rory McIlroy, the third-ranked participant on the planet, at 7-to-1 to win, which is second-lowest among the many area.

In the meantime, World No. 2 Xander Schauffele stays sidelined with a rib damage and has given no timetable for his return. The Southern California native has not performed because the season-opening Sentry in Maui.

The opposite large storyline this week includes Mom Nature, which is able to as soon as once more affect play at Torrey Pines. When you recall, throughout the second spherical of this yr’s Farmers Insurance coverage Open, PGA Tour officers needed to droop play because of 35-mile-per-hour wind gusts that made circumstances unplayable. Golf balls wouldn’t cease rolling on these quick and agency greens, which compelled the stoppage of play.

The wind will once more affect play this week, however an ‘Atmospheric River’ will descend upon Southern California, bringing chilly, wet climate. Temperatures won’t exceed 60 levels, that means the golf ball won’t journey as far. The course will obtain over an inch of rain between Wednesday and Friday, making it longer and more difficult. At the very least the greens will likely be softer. As for the winds, the PGA Tour’s official meteorologist requires gusts to peak at 24-miles-per-hour on Wednesday and Thursday.

Count on scores to be increased this week due to the circumstances. Anybody who shoots decrease than 10-under will possible emerge because the winner.

Genesis Invitational Odds:

Listed here are the most recent odds for gamers to win the 2025 Genesis Invitational, courtesy of FanDuel:

Scottie Scheffler +400

Rory McIlroy +700

Collin Morikawa +1400

Justin Thomas +1800

Hideki Matsuyama +2200

Ludvig Aberg +2500

Patrick Cantlay +3300

Sungjae Im +3500

Jordan Spieth +4000

Rasmus Hojgaard +4000

Taylor Pendrith +4000

Tony Finau +4000

Tommy Fleetwood +4000

Jason Day +4500

Robert MacIntyre +4500

Shane Lowry +4500

Will Zalatoris +5000

Sam Burns +5000

Thomas Detry +5000

Tom Kim +5000

Sepp Straka +5000

Maverick McNealy +5500

Viktor Hovland +5500

Keegan Bradley +6000

Russell Henley +6000

Min Woo Lee +6000

Wyndham Clark +7000

Cameron Younger +7000

Byeong Hun An +7500

Adam Scott +7500

J.T. Poston +8000

Sahith Theegala +8000

Si Woo Kim +8000

Samuel Stevens +8000

Max Greyserman +9000

Akshay Bhatia +9000

Harris English +9000

Daniel Berger +9000

Photograph by Ronald Martinez/Getty Pictures

Enjoying By way of’s Picks:

Jack Milko — Employees Author, Golf

After taking every week off, Collin Morikawa returns to his residence state, seeking to win for the primary time since October 2023, when he captured the ZOZO Championship in Japan.

Morikawa will snap his 15-month winless drought this week and win the Genesis Invitational on a course that fits his sport completely. The scorecard measures 7,765 yards, an eye-opening size that may play even longer because of the moist circumstances forecasted throughout rounds one and two.

Positive, Morikawa shouldn’t be the largest hitter on tour — he ranks 154th in driving distance. However probably the most essential attributes he’ll depend on this week are his accuracy and his method play. The 2-time main winner has hit 90-of-116 fairways thus far this season, which equates to 77.59 p.c and is second on the PGA Tour. Avoiding the thick, wholesome, and moist ryegrass tough that line these fairways is of utmost significance this week. Morikawa will do this and plot his manner round Torrey Pines.

He additionally has gained extra strokes on method than every other participant thus far in 2025, additional proof that he is among the greatest ball strikers on the planet. His lengthy irons will come in useful this week, as he’ll as soon as once more hit loads of greens, avoiding scrambling for par as a lot as potential. No person hits their 4, 5, or six-irons higher than Morikawa.

This golf course fits Morikawa’s eye too. He tied for fourth on the U.S. Open in 2021 and completed solo third on the 2023 Farmers Insurance coverage Open. He missed the reduce by a stroke final yr, however one dangerous swing on the seventeenth gap late on Friday sealed his destiny. He hooked one out-of-bounds left and made a double en path to taking pictures a 3-over 75, simply the second over-par rating he has signed for at Torrey Pines in his profession.

FanDuel Odds: Morikawa to win at +1400

Photograph by Orlando Ramirez/Getty Pictures

RJ Ochoa — Senior Producer, Running a blog the Boys

Up to now this season I’ve solely picked Scottie Scheffler and whereas I don’t really feel any guilt or disgrace about that… I’ve come up dry.

I’m noting right here earlier than my choose that I’m NOT selecting Scottie, which, OF COURSE, means this would be the week he wins, all the pieces goes chalk, and I look foolish. Anyway, I digress.

For this distinctive version of the Genesis Invitational, I’m going to take the recommendation of my new pal, former New York Giants extensive receiver Victor Cruz. Ludvig Åberg has had a while away to recuperate from the sickness that plagued him originally of the West Coast swing. In spite of everything, earlier than he turned sick, Åberg fired a 9-under 63 on day one of many Farmers Insurance coverage Open and held the solo lead. Then the flu struck, and he sunk down the leaderboard and in the end tied for forty second. He shot 75-74-79 over his closing 54 holes at Torrey Pines three weeks in the past, barely wanting just like the participant who was firing on all cylinders on day one. He reportedly bought sick on the course, too. So now he has an opportunity to seize a big-time win, redeem himself at an iconic course, and take his identify to a brand new degree as issues ramp up in direction of The Gamers. It looks like we’re due a win from a big-time identify, though Rory McIlroy simply gained, and this checks that field for me.

FanDuel Odds: Åberg to win at +2500

Photograph by Sean M. Haffey/Getty Pictures

Mark Schofield — Employees Author, NFL and System 1

I used to be getting again within the automotive final Friday after getting a haircut when my telephone buzzed.

It was my expensive pal Jack, with the unlucky information that my choose for the WM Phoenix Open, J.J. Spaun, withdrew because of an sickness.

On condition that, I really feel the necessity to choose one other lengthy shot this week in his honor. So let’s go together with Irishman Shane Lowry, who appears to play nicely in horrible climate. Lowry has not gained on the PGA Tour since teaming up with Rory McIlroy on the Zurich Traditional of New Orleans final yr, considered one of his three profession victories. However when a type of wins is The Open itself, as he did again in 2019 at Royal Portrush, you understand he can strike the ball nicely.

That’s what Lowry did the final trip at Pebble Seaside. Lowry completed second on the AT&T Pebble Seaside Professional-Am, getting off to a blazing begin over his first three rounds. He was 15-under heading into the ultimate spherical, however three bogeys on his entrance 9 on Sunday noticed his Ryder Cup and Zurich Traditional teammate draw back.

Lowry has additionally been implausible with the flat stick thus far this season, rating second on the PGA Tour in each One-Putt Proportion (50-percent), and Putts per Spherical (27).

And the truth that he goes off at +4000 is mighty intriguing.

Oh, and in the event you’re questioning, the 2025 Open is at Royal Portrush too.

FanDuel Odds: Lowry to win at +4000

Photograph by Sean M. Haffey/Getty Pictures

Jack Milko is a golf workers author for SB Nation’s Enjoying By way of. Comply with him on X @jack_milko.