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3 NFL upset picks for Week 11


Week 11 of the 2024 NFL season is right here, and it presents an amazing slate of video games for followers.

The early Sunday window sees a large recreation within the AFC North between the Baltimore Ravens and the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Sunday slate additionally options intriguing video games between the Chicago Bears and the Inexperienced Bay Packers, in addition to the sport between the Atlanta Falcons and the Denver Broncos.

Then there may be the titanic conflict between the Kansas Metropolis Chiefs and the Buffalo Payments.

Will we see any upsets this week? Listed here are some video games the employees at SB Nation are eying.

New England Patriots (+5) over Los Angeles Rams

Sure associates, that is a completely disgusting homer choice.

However the hope is again in New England relating to the Patriots.

Drake Maye’s dramatic landing on the ultimate play of regulation two weeks in the past in opposition to the Tennessee Titans was the primary spark of pleasure, and whereas that recreation ended with Maye throwing an interception in extra time in a New England loss, final weekend in opposition to the Chicago Bears was a unique story. Maye threw a landing on the offensive facet of the ball, and his defensive teammates flustered fellow rookie quarterback Caleb Williams in New England’s 19-3 win.

Now the Patriots are welcoming in Matthew Stafford and the Rams, as they make the cross-country journey to play within the early Sunday window. That could be a recipe for an upset in my ebook.

—Mark Schofield

Washington Commanders (+4.5) over Philadelphia Eagles

Did everybody simply overlook how good the Commanders are? This workforce solely misplaced by one level to an excellent Steelers workforce, and I tend to assume that a significant component in that loss was Brian Robinson Jr. being out damage, their main rusher.

I’m not saying that is going to be a straightforward recreation, however there’s little or no to make me consider that the Eagles are value something greater than the usual dwelling recreation +3 line. On the very least I feel this may very well be one other one level recreation, and reality be advised I truly assume Washington will go in and win this one.

The Kliff Kingsbury unfold is brutal to defend in opposition to, and regardless that Philly’s go protection is stellar I can’t shake the sensation that this one may shock them.

— James Dator

Atlanta Falcons (+2.5) over Denver Broncos

This recreation might really go both manner, however I’m a giant fan of what the Falcons have on offense. They face a tricky Broncos’ protection, however it’s additionally a protection that has been prone to receptions by operating backs (twenty second in DVOA in opposition to RBs, high 10 in opposition to each different talent place). Atlanta has a drive of nature in RB Bijan Robinson and a talent place group able to placing up some massive numbers offensively.

On the opposite facet of the ball, I fear about QB Bo Nix in opposition to a workforce that’s predicated on capitalizing on errors. Nix has performed properly lately, exhibiting numerous development in areas I used to be involved in for his development. Now, he goes up in opposition to an Atlanta workforce with no true go rush. Nonetheless, safeties Jessie Bates and Justin Simmons will give him issues, and I feel they drive a mistake out of him.

— JP Acosta

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