Frontier Airways and Spirit Airways are reportedly in talks to merge. Appears like déjà vu? It’s.
Frontier and Spirit first unveiled plans for a $2.9 billion merger in February 2022 that may have created the fifth largest airline within the U.S. Then JetBlue Airways stepped in that April and foiled the plans with a hostile $3-plus billion proposal that Spirit finally accepted. That deal collapsed this previous March after it was blocked by a federal decide.
Mergers, at face worth, have a blended historical past. They can lead to much less competitors and better airfares. However they’ll additionally make the ensuing airways stronger and higher capable of develop to new locations they might not beforehand.
However the advantages of mixing Frontier and Spirit arguably outweigh the primary threat. For one, Spirit is struggling. It’s slicing routes as a result of dozens of its planes are grounded as a result of engine points. And, with an enormous debt invoice due subsequent yr, it faces a attainable chapter that Wall Avenue analysts assume would end in it shrinking — possibly dramatically — in dimension. And a smaller Spirit wouldn’t be good for shoppers.
“A nationwide excessive utilization ultra-low-cost provider takes away the dynamic of two spill carriers chasing the identical cost-conscious site visitors,” wrote Tom Fitzgerald, an airline analyst on the funding financial institution TD Cowen, in a report shared with Journey + Leisure on Wednesday. “The mixed entity will possible be in a stronger place to compete within the Southeast and Caribbean.”
And a stronger competitor could be good for shoppers, driving down common airfares and giving them extra choices after they journey.
A mixed Frontier-Spirit could be the fifth largest U.S. airline by seats, October schedule knowledge from aviation analytics agency Cirium Diio reveals. The airline would even be bigger than Alaska Airways after its not too long ago permitted merger with Hawaiian Airways. It could serve 115 cities, together with 24 worldwide locations in international locations resembling Colombia, Costa Rica, and Mexico.
Frontier-Spirit would even be the biggest airline at South Florida’s second busiest airport, Fort Lauderdale-Hollywood, and the second largest airline in common locations like Dallas-Fort Value, Las Vegas, and Orlando.
And Frontier-Spirit, primarily based on a presentation on the deserves of their first merger proposal from 2022, might be strengthened to enter new markets that neither airline serves right this moment, like Eugene, Ore., Ithaca, N.Y., and Worcester, Mass.
First, nevertheless, Frontier and Spirit should comply with a deal. That might be a part of a possible Chapter 11 chapter submitting by Spirit, in line with The Wall Avenue Journal’s report. In the very best case situation, shoppers wouldn’t start to see any profit from a Frontier-Spirit merger till 2026 on the earliest.